Trade Wars and Tariffs Take the Freight World by Storm

Nick Terry • March 14, 2025

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It is no secret that the heightened trade wars have allies and adversaries on edge. New tariffs from the U.S. government and major changes to port fees are creating big disruptions. Shippers, trucking companies, and ports are scrambling to adjust, especially with so much uncertainty about how these changes can impact the freight economy. 


Experts are confused about the Trump administration’s new direction. The agriculture industry faces serious threats from falling sales to China, and spot freight rates continue to spike. Even truck orders are impacted, with recent data showing a sharp drop. Uncertainty is everywhere.


To ensure you are always well-informed, we have curated all the latest news, so keep reading as we dive into how all this could impact your freight operations.


US Tariffs, Shipping Fees Set to Reshape Trade, Port Activity

The Trump administration has raised tariffs on Chinese goods by 20%, but is not stopping there. Plans are underway to introduce reciprocal tariffs on April 2. Shippers are moving goods to prepare for these changes, but trade with Canada and Mexico remains uncertain, with tariffs repeatedly imposed, rolled back, and delayed.


A separate proposal from the U.S. Trade Representative aims to charge ships built in China up to
$1.5 million per port call. Since many of the world’s container vessels are Chinese made, this could drive up costs for cargo owners and shift shipping patterns. Companies may start using larger vessels or consolidating shipments to reduce port calls, which could reduce traffic at smaller U.S. ports.


While ports handled increased import volumes late last year without major problems, pressure is building. 


US Agriculture Faces Growing Threat from Chinese Tariffs

Experts warn that U.S. agriculture will suffer the most from China’s tariff retaliation. Low margins and global competition make it difficult for American farmers to recover lost sales. Peter Friedmann of the Agriculture Transportation Coalition cited past trade disputes in which U.S. farmers suffered heavy losses and required government subsidies to stay afloat.


China has already been shifting away from U.S. suppliers, increasing purchases from Brazil and Argentina. The latest tariffs target key American exports, including cotton, pork, beef, and soybeans, all of which have alternative sources in global markets. Recent data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture shows soybean shipments to China have fallen sharply, with January volumes dropping from
3.8 million tonnes last year to 1.8 million this year.


Trade experts say the White House has not fully considered the long-term damage
these trade policies could cause. Many in the agriculture sector fear these trade shifts could have lasting consequences well beyond the current tariff cycle.


Uncertainty Over Tariffs Disrupts Cross-Border Trucking

Trucking companies and logistics providers are adjusting to shifting tariff policies. Duties on USMCA-compliant imports from Canada and Mexico are currently suspended until April 2. This temporary pause has triggered a surge in freight movement as shippers rush to take advantage before potential new tariffs take effect.


Border crossings have slowed, and goods entering Canada and Mexico take longer to be transported. Carriers are staying in close contact with customers as businesses weigh their options. Some shippers are working through the process of qualifying for USMCA exemptions, while others are breaking down shipments to reduce duty costs.


Logistics firms report a spike in volumes, particularly from Mexico, and a tightening of available trucking capacity.


Truck Orders Drop as Tariff Uncertainty Disrupts Market

Orders for Class 8 trucks in North America fell sharply in February, down 34% from a year ago and 29% from January. This marks the second straight month of declines following a brief spike in December. Analysts point to trade and economic policy uncertainty under the new administration as a major factor behind the slowdown.


The drop was even steeper when adjusted for seasonal trends, with February posting the lowest figures in nearly two years. While some manufacturers, such as Mack Trucks, report steady demand in vocational markets, overall investment in new trucks appears to be stalling.


Industry experts say tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports, which affect nearly half of all Class 8 trucks built for the U.S. and Canadian markets, affect orders.


Additional tariffs on steel and aluminum could further complicate fleet purchasing decisions. 


US-Canada Tariffs Push Trucking Costs Higher as Volumes Drop

Cross-border trucking costs surged in early March, even as fewer goods moved between the U.S. and Canada. Spot rates for Toronto-to-Chicago shipments jumped 18%, while freight volumes on that route fell 20%. The trend was similar in the opposite direction, with rates rising 8% as loads dipped 2%. A shrinking supply of available Canadian trucks has tightened capacity, compounding the pressure.


The situation on the southern border was different. Shipments from Mexico increased 12% week over week, though rate hikes remained small. The difference comes down to how goods move. U.S.-bound freight from Mexico often gets transferred to domestic trucks at the border, while Canadian shipments move directly to their destinations.


When a fresh round of tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods took effect (briefly) on March 4, some businesses opted to delay shipments. 


CMA CGM Pledges $20 Billion Investment in US

French shipping executive Rodolphe Saadé met President Trump at the White House and committed to investing $20 billion in the U.S. over the next four years. The funds will go toward expanding CMA CGM’s U.S.-flagged fleet, upgrading port operations, building a Chicago airfreight hub, and adding new logistics infrastructure. The investment is expected to create 10,000 jobs.


The planned investment includes $8 billion for new container ships, $7 billion for logistics, $4 billion for ports, and $1 billion for air cargo. The company will add 20 new U.S.-flagged ships, likely built in South Korea, while exploring options for U.S. shipyard production. Trump has been pushing for a revival of the U.S. maritime industry, with plans to impose fees on Chinese-built ships and introduce new shipbuilding programs.


However, Saadé warned that such fees could disrupt trade. CMA CGM, the world’s third-largest container carrier, has been expanding its presence in the U.S., already employing 15,000 people and operating major terminals in Los Angeles and New York-New Jersey. The company plans to double its warehouse network and open an R&D center in Boston.


Port of LA Starts Year with Record Cargo Volumes

The Port of Los Angeles handled 924,245 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) in January, making it the busiest start to a year in its 117-year history. Volume increased 8% from the previous year, continuing a seven-month stretch of strong container movement.


Importers moved goods early to avoid potential tariff increases and to prepare for Lunar New Year slowdowns. Loaded imports rose 9.5% year over year to 483,831 TEUs, while loaded exports
dropped 10.5% to 113,271 TEUs. Port officials reported that despite the high volumes, cargo moved efficiently without major delays.


Navigate Truck Rates, Financials with Entourage Freight Solutions

Tariffs and trade spats have the freight economy trending around historic lows. While this can seem like good news for carriers as rates skyrocket, it also means the market is somewhat unstable, and trucking carriers will do what they can to recoup costs and stay afloat. 


Shippers need access to freight management services and real-time data to manage their shipments and stabilize them in a volatile environment. 


Entourage Freight Solutions
provides steady services that help you navigate an ever-changing logistics environment and receive important information in real time. 


Entourage Freight Solutions offers the following services and many more:

 

  • Our LTL Service provides on-demand access to capacity, real-time data, and peace of mind in this high-stakes world. 
  • Our Freight Management lets your team stay organized across inbound and outbound logistics, tracking market capacity and using automation notifications to keep everyone informed. 
  • Our Refrigerated Transport provides expertise in everything from finished goods to raw materials, ensuring products arrive on time and in top condition. 


Request a quote
today to see how Entourage Freight Solutions can help with your freight movement and other supply chain needs.


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The freight and logistics market has been navigating a turbulent spring as trade policy swings, supply chain bottlenecks, and shifting consumer behavior ripple through every link of the global network. From record layoffs in retail to volatility in Mexican cross-border shipments, the industry is feeling the heat. And port operators, warehouse managers, and transportation carriers alike are having to adapt to rapid changes in container flows, tariff impacts, and regulatory shifts . We have unpacked the critical developments around the freight world, each reflecting the delicate balance between capacity, demand, and regulation that supply chain leaders must navigate. Continue reading to find out more. Tariff Volatility Fuels Cross-Border Freight Swings U.S. shippers face erratic cross-border freight flows from Mexico as tariff uncertainties continue to disrupt their logistics and supply chain planning. According to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, U.S.-bound truck crossings rose 10.2% in January, fell 6.3% in February, spiked 12% in March, and dropped again by 4.5% in April . Averitt’s Edward Habe attributes this volatility to shippers’ attempts to beat tariff deadlines and navigate unpredictable trade announcements. Although a 25% tariff applies only to goods outside USMCA rules of origin, shippers remain cautious. At Eagle Pass, Texas, beer demand drove a 49.2% year-over-year surge in northbound trucks in Q1, and a considerable part of this was because of Constellation Brands’ Modelo shipments. Meanwhile, Otay Mesa’s volume plummeted 34.9% due to tariffs on Chinese and Southeast Asian imports, which impacted Mexican assembly plants. Key crossings like Laredo and El Paso posted modest declines, while Nogales, Arizona, saw a 4.4% gain. Experts have cautioned that cross-border trade will remain turbulent as long as tariffs fluctuate, making forecasting and operational planning challenging. Chassis Providers Mobilize for Import Surge With U.S. ports bracing for an influx of Chinese imports, America’s largest marine chassis providers — TRAC Intermodal, DCLI, and FlexiVan — are pulling tens of thousands of units from storage , inspecting, and repositioning them to key inland hubs like Chicago, Dallas, and Memphis. TRAC’s Val Noel said, “It could be like a tsunami,” as companies aim to avoid service disruptions. TRAC and DCLI are working closely with BNSF and Union Pacific to anticipate container volumes. FlexiVan, exiting Southern California’s Pool of Pools, is focusing on core partner Ocean Network Express and opened a new chassis pool at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Logistics providers say it takes weeks to inspect and repair stored chassis, a process they have accelerated since learning lessons during the pandemic. Private chassis pools and railroad container management have improved since the COVID-19 pandemic, reducing pressure on public chassis pools. However, with a surge expected this summer, providers are racing to ensure sufficient capacity and avoid bottlenecks that plagued past import booms. Forecast Points to Port Volatility Ahead U.S. retailers are anticipating a temporary surge in port activity this summer, driven by the 90-day U.S.-China tariff pause that slashed rates on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%. According to the National Retail Federation’s Global Port Tracker, this pause has prompted a rush to restock, with volumes rebounding in June to an estimated 2.01 million TEUs, despite being down 6.2% year over year . However, April’s peak at 2.21 million TEUs was short-lived, with May volumes projected to drop to 1.91 million TEUs, the lowest since December 2023. Retailers are also front-loading back-to-school and winter holiday orders, creating an unusual overlap of peak seasons. Yet, forecasts for September and October show sharp declines of 21.8% and 19.8%, respectively. With port labor strikes and tariff policy swings in play, importers face a turbulent second half of 2025, highlighting the challenges of managing global supply chains in an unpredictable trade environment. Tariff Whiplash Sparks Supply Chain Disruptions April saw the largest recorded monthly drop in the U.S. trade deficit, driven by a 16% import plunge after a tariff-driven order surge. The numbers highlight a troubling supply chain crunch. Data shows warehouse inventories are bloated while replenishment orders stall, widening the gap between inventory levels and costs to 26.8 points , the third highest on record. With storage fees still climbing, small businesses are particularly squeezed, says Colorado State’s Zachary Rogers. Freight rates on the China-U.S. route spiked 88%, with container spot rates expected to peak in June before easing. Flexport’s Ryan Petersen warns that stacked tariffs (some containers face 70% total duties) add layers of uncertainty. Smaller logistics providers, representing the “middle mile,” are hit hardest as large players hoard capacity. C.H. Robinson and Flexport offer tech solutions that help with tariff simulation, but July’s potential tariff increase continues to add uncertainty. The bottom line is that small and mid-tier firms bear the brunt of tariff swings, threatening their viability in an increasingly volatile trade environment. LTL Market Faces Soft Demand as Tonnage Declines Tonnage fell in May for multiple carriers . According to initial reports from Old Dominion Freight Line, Saia, and XPO, sluggish demand persisted in the market. LTL tonnage per day and shipments for these firms all declined compared to a year ago. However, the severity of the drops varied, with Old Dominion hit the hardest and Saia receding the least among the group. In contrast, ArcBest’s asset-based segment reported a 6% year-over-year increase in total tons per day for the month. That came as daily shipments were up 7% for May, “reflecting success in capturing new core business,” the company said. Saia bucked the trend, growing LTL weight per shipment by 3% year over year in May. Manufacturing woes and the customer makeup of these carriers are affecting their tonnage and weight changes. Experts say LTL carriers are navigating a low-demand environment by focusing on profitable lanes and contractual freight rather than chasing volume with pricing concessions. Tariff-Driven Trade Shifts Threaten West Coast Ports U.S. ports are navigating a shifting trade landscape as importers look to sidestep tariffs on Chinese goods, driving cargo diversification toward Southeast Asia and India. According to Larry Gross of Gross Transportation Consulting, the U.S. West Coast, which handled 57% of Chinese imports in 2024, is expected to lose the most as trade reroutes. Chinese volumes accounted for 65% of West Coast port traffic, while only 27% and 8% went to the East and Gulf coasts , respectively. Southeast Asian imports already account for 32% of 2024 TEUs, offering some relief, but not enough to offset the decline from China. When shippers pivot to India, the East Coast captures 86% of inbound freight, reinforcing its resilience. Additional shifts in supply chains, such as labor-related cargo diversions and closures of the Red Sea and Suez Canal, further complicate port planning. Gross warns that the West Coast faces a “triple-barreled threat” of lower trade volumes, loss of diverted cargo to the East and Gulf coasts, and the erosion of Chinese import dominance. Retail Layoffs Surge 274% Amid Tariffs, Economic Pessimism U.S. retailers cut nearly 76,000 jobs in the first five months of 2025. A 274% surge over the same period in 2024, driven by tariffs, economic pessimism, and shifting consumer spending patterns. According to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, retail ranked second in total job cuts, behind only government losses. May alone saw 11,483 layoffs in retail, up from 7,235 in April , reflecting industrywide struggles. Andrew Challenger, senior vice president at the firm, attributed the trend to tariffs, funding cuts, and economic headwinds that have forced companies to tighten budgets. Major brands like Nike, Walmart, and Procter & Gamble announced significant layoffs in May, with Nike shifting responsibilities within its global tech team, Walmart trimming 1,500 positions in tech and operations, and P&G slashing 7,000 nonmanufacturing jobs, which is about 15% of its workforce. Despite the cuts, overall U.S. employment grew by 139,000 in May, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%. Challenger noted that while some companies continue to hire, they do so cautiously, reflecting a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. Experience Seamless Shipping with Entourage Freight Solutions Entourage Freight Solutions believes in total transparency in the shipping process. That is why we invest in tech solutions that track every shipment extensively, monitor every driver, and extract every bit of efficiency without sacrificing quality. Our state-of-the-art platform utilizes cloud-based GPS tracking to keep you informed, reroutes shipments on the fly to avoid delays, and even responds to real-time market changes to ensure you receive your shipment on time and as soon as possible. Our Services Full Truckload (FTL): When you need a truck all to yourself. Less-Than-Truckload (LTL): Efficient solutions for multi-stop shipments or combining smaller loads to save on costs. Refrigerated Trucking: Keeping your temperature-sensitive products fresh and safe. Cross-Docking: Strategically located facilities in Shelby, Ohio, Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and Romulus, Michigan, for streamlined consolidation, storage, and distribution. Ready to experience a new level of service and control in your freight shipping? Request a quote today to see how Entourage Freight Solutions can help with your freight movement and other supply chain needs.