President Trump Vows Trade Tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico

Nick Terry • January 28, 2025

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During his campaign, President Donald Trump made no secret of his intentions to bring manufacturing back to the U.S., including ending perceived trade disadvantages with key partners, including Canada, Mexico, and the European Union. The move has drawn mixed reactions from industry leaders and experts, but no one is certain how it will pan out.


In this newsletter, we review some of the
potential tariff plans and how the market is reacting. Continue reading to find out more.


Trump’s Tariff Plans Target Major Trade Partners and Raise Economic Concerns

Imports moving into the U.S. from neighbors Canada and Mexico could soon be subjected to 25% tariffs as Trump follows through on his plans to impose duties on key markets, including countries aligned with America’s interests. Trump will also impose an additional 10% tariff on China-based imports starting Feb. 1. This aligns with commitments made during his reelection campaign and inauguration, with the timeline for implementation clarified during a recent White House press briefing. Trump has said the tariffs are tied to fentanyl imports from China into Mexico and Canada.


However, the move is part of a broader strategy outlined in a recent memorandum. The memorandum tasks federal agencies with reviewing U.S. trade policy and suggesting potential actions by April 1. The decision could strain U.S. trade relations, particularly with China, Canada, and Mexico, and may result in retaliatory tariffs and other economic impacts, including reduced consumer spending power and potential legal issues for U.S. businesses abroad.


Shippers Strategize Trucking Costs Amid Uncertain Freight Market

Trucking contract negotiations are underway, but shippers and carriers are trying to navigate the process to ensure long-term success. U.S. shippers are balancing the desire to limit rate increases with the need to maintain reliable carrier partnerships. Spot rates have shown a modest uptick, but contract rates have remained flat for the most part due to lingering excess capacity in the market. However, shippers are wary of pushing too hard for rate reductions, fearing a potential loss of capacity when demand rises later in 2025.


Industry experts suggest rate increases will be modest during this cycle, with many shippers prioritizing stability over short-term savings. Surveys indicate that 70% of shippers anticipate
higher freight volumes, while 57% expect rate hikes this year. Some logistics managers are opting for moderate rate increases to maintain carrier relationships, particularly as tightening capacity is predicted to lead to higher costs in the second half of the year.


Conversely, carriers are under pressure to navigate these negotiations as they face increasing operational costs. While many shippers remain cautious, a shift in market conditions could see rates climb significantly by year’s end, potentially impacting the freight market’s recovery timeline.


Logistics Real Estate Primed for Growth Following US Election 

Prologis, a major logistics real estate developer, anticipates an upswing in industrial rents later in 2025. This is driven by rising demand for leased space, including from third-party logistics providers. Following the presidential election, stalled decisions on new developments were unlocked, leading to a significant increase in leasing activity. Prologis set a record in the fourth quarter, leasing 60 million square feet of space.


The company reported an average occupancy rate of 95.8% in Q4 2024, with projections for stability of about 96% through 2025. While
industrial rents declined slightly last year, Prologis expects them to bottom out and begin climbing later this year, fueled by inventory needs and steady absorption of logistics space. E-commerce, electronics, food and beverage, and 3PLs have been key demand drivers.


Prologis has $5 billion and 30 million square feet of projects underway and continues to see strong investor interest in logistics, data centers, and energy-related facilities.


Shipping Routes and Freight Rates Face Shift Amid Red Sea Developments

Earlier this month, following the Gaza ceasefire, the Houthi militants pledged to stop attacks in the Red Sea and limit their attacks to Israeli-affiliated vessels. However, despite these promises, ocean carriers remain cautious about resuming Red Sea transits.


Major carriers, including Hapag-Lloyd and Maersk, are calling for more secure waters and have reiterated their commitment to resuming Red Sea operations only when the area is deemed safe. The ongoing conflict, which began affecting shipping in late 2023, forced vessels to divert around the Cape of Good Hope, removing substantial capacity from the market. This shift led to higher freight rates as capacity tightened.


A return to
Red Sea routes could significantly impact global shipping dynamics. Analysts predict falling spot rates and potential overcapacity challenges. Carriers have suggested increased scrapping and capacity management to address the risks. However, experts warn that the market may still experience turbulence, with rates likely to fall sharply before stabilizing.


US Considers Ending Duty-Free Rule for Certain Low-Value Imports

Prior to the end of the Biden administration, U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) proposed changes to rules governing low-value imports, especially targeting goods subject to tariffs or national security restrictions. If the Trump administration implements the changes, it will end duty-free entry for products valued under $800, subject to Section 301 tariffs, including many Chinese imports like textiles, appliances, and steel.


The move could potentially
increase consumer costs and dampen demand, although experts predict Chinese e-commerce firms will adapt swiftly through strategies like consolidating shipments or establishing fulfillment centers in North America. Under the current system, the de minimis exemption allows low-value imports to bypass duties and some reporting requirements. However, the CBP argues the exemption has been exploited, contributing to surging imports, counterfeit goods, and even fentanyl smuggling.


Proponents of the change, including U.S. textile groups, claim the loophole harms domestic industries by allowing subsidized foreign goods to undercut U.S. manufacturers. If finalized, the new rules could raise prices for certain low-cost imports by 20-35% and lengthen delivery times slightly. Consumers and businesses have 60 days to provide feedback on the proposal.


Tariff Threats on Canada and Mexico Pose Broad Trade Challenges for US Industries

President Trump’s threat to impose 25% tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico has raised concerns across several key industries, including chemicals, energy, and transportation. While much attention has been focused on the auto sector, broader implications extend to essential goods like chlorine for water treatment, lumber, and critical minerals vital for electric vehicle production.


Canada is the top U.S. trade partner for chemicals, and billions of dollars of cross-border trade rely on railroads for transport. Analysts warn that tariffs could disrupt supply chains, inflate prices, and strain the close economic ties facilitated by agreements such as the USMCA. Meanwhile, shippers are preparing for the potential ripple effects, ranging from increased consumer costs to retaliatory tariffs. 


Concerns are particularly acute in
sectors like apparel, where tariffs could substantially increase the cost of goods like denim, and energy, with Canada being a key supplier of crude oil and natural gas. While trade policies are still under review, industries reliant on North American partnerships are bracing for significant challenges if tariffs are enacted.


China’s Dominance in Global Shipping and Shipbuilding Threatens US Competitiveness and Security

A recent U.S. investigation into China’s trade practices has revealed a concerted effort by the country to dominate the global ocean shipping and shipbuilding markets. While this is acceptable if done through the right channels, the investigation also revealed that the Chinese government is utilizing unfair tactics.


The probe, initiated in April 2024, highlighted that
China’s market share in shipbuilding surged from less than 5% in 1999 to more than 50% by 2023. China also pushed its ownership of the commercial world fleet to over 19% as of January 2024.


According to the report, government policies that unfairly depress costs or provide advantages enabled the targeting. In a broader sense, the move has severely disadvantaged U.S. companies, workers, and the U.S. economy by lessening competition and commercial opportunities and creating economic security risks from dependencies and vulnerabilities.


Navigate the Freight Market with Entourage Freight Solutions

Entourage Freight Solutions has an extensive background and expertise in food service logistics. The company’s unique strategy, honed in the food supply chain, ensures an unmatched service level and extreme attention to detail in meeting all our shippers’ needs.


EFS platforms leverage the latest cloud-based, GPS-enabled technologies. They can track drivers regardless of location, continuously reroute shipments based on the dynamics at play, such as weather or traffic, and account for real-time changes in market rates. At Entourage Freight Solutions, we offer a broad range of unsurpassed services. These include:


1.
Full Truck Load (FTL): For shipments requiring a dedicated whole truckload.

2. Less than truckload (LTL): For companies moving multiple LTL shipments to different locations or consolidating LTL goods from other companies to get a lower all-in rate.

3. Refrigerated Trucking or “Reefer” Transportation: Leveraged to avoid spoilage and damage to temperature-sensitive goods.

4. Cross-Docking: We have locations in Shelby, Ohio, Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and Romulus, Michigan, which serve as cross-docks for strategic consolidation, storage, and end-to-end distribution programs.


Request a quote
today to see how Entourage Freight Solutions can help with your freight movement and other supply chain needs.


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The freight and logistics market has been navigating a turbulent spring as trade policy swings, supply chain bottlenecks, and shifting consumer behavior ripple through every link of the global network. From record layoffs in retail to volatility in Mexican cross-border shipments, the industry is feeling the heat. And port operators, warehouse managers, and transportation carriers alike are having to adapt to rapid changes in container flows, tariff impacts, and regulatory shifts . We have unpacked the critical developments around the freight world, each reflecting the delicate balance between capacity, demand, and regulation that supply chain leaders must navigate. Continue reading to find out more. Tariff Volatility Fuels Cross-Border Freight Swings U.S. shippers face erratic cross-border freight flows from Mexico as tariff uncertainties continue to disrupt their logistics and supply chain planning. According to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, U.S.-bound truck crossings rose 10.2% in January, fell 6.3% in February, spiked 12% in March, and dropped again by 4.5% in April . Averitt’s Edward Habe attributes this volatility to shippers’ attempts to beat tariff deadlines and navigate unpredictable trade announcements. Although a 25% tariff applies only to goods outside USMCA rules of origin, shippers remain cautious. At Eagle Pass, Texas, beer demand drove a 49.2% year-over-year surge in northbound trucks in Q1, and a considerable part of this was because of Constellation Brands’ Modelo shipments. Meanwhile, Otay Mesa’s volume plummeted 34.9% due to tariffs on Chinese and Southeast Asian imports, which impacted Mexican assembly plants. Key crossings like Laredo and El Paso posted modest declines, while Nogales, Arizona, saw a 4.4% gain. Experts have cautioned that cross-border trade will remain turbulent as long as tariffs fluctuate, making forecasting and operational planning challenging. Chassis Providers Mobilize for Import Surge With U.S. ports bracing for an influx of Chinese imports, America’s largest marine chassis providers — TRAC Intermodal, DCLI, and FlexiVan — are pulling tens of thousands of units from storage , inspecting, and repositioning them to key inland hubs like Chicago, Dallas, and Memphis. TRAC’s Val Noel said, “It could be like a tsunami,” as companies aim to avoid service disruptions. TRAC and DCLI are working closely with BNSF and Union Pacific to anticipate container volumes. FlexiVan, exiting Southern California’s Pool of Pools, is focusing on core partner Ocean Network Express and opened a new chassis pool at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Logistics providers say it takes weeks to inspect and repair stored chassis, a process they have accelerated since learning lessons during the pandemic. Private chassis pools and railroad container management have improved since the COVID-19 pandemic, reducing pressure on public chassis pools. However, with a surge expected this summer, providers are racing to ensure sufficient capacity and avoid bottlenecks that plagued past import booms. Forecast Points to Port Volatility Ahead U.S. retailers are anticipating a temporary surge in port activity this summer, driven by the 90-day U.S.-China tariff pause that slashed rates on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%. According to the National Retail Federation’s Global Port Tracker, this pause has prompted a rush to restock, with volumes rebounding in June to an estimated 2.01 million TEUs, despite being down 6.2% year over year . However, April’s peak at 2.21 million TEUs was short-lived, with May volumes projected to drop to 1.91 million TEUs, the lowest since December 2023. Retailers are also front-loading back-to-school and winter holiday orders, creating an unusual overlap of peak seasons. Yet, forecasts for September and October show sharp declines of 21.8% and 19.8%, respectively. With port labor strikes and tariff policy swings in play, importers face a turbulent second half of 2025, highlighting the challenges of managing global supply chains in an unpredictable trade environment. Tariff Whiplash Sparks Supply Chain Disruptions April saw the largest recorded monthly drop in the U.S. trade deficit, driven by a 16% import plunge after a tariff-driven order surge. The numbers highlight a troubling supply chain crunch. Data shows warehouse inventories are bloated while replenishment orders stall, widening the gap between inventory levels and costs to 26.8 points , the third highest on record. With storage fees still climbing, small businesses are particularly squeezed, says Colorado State’s Zachary Rogers. Freight rates on the China-U.S. route spiked 88%, with container spot rates expected to peak in June before easing. Flexport’s Ryan Petersen warns that stacked tariffs (some containers face 70% total duties) add layers of uncertainty. Smaller logistics providers, representing the “middle mile,” are hit hardest as large players hoard capacity. C.H. Robinson and Flexport offer tech solutions that help with tariff simulation, but July’s potential tariff increase continues to add uncertainty. The bottom line is that small and mid-tier firms bear the brunt of tariff swings, threatening their viability in an increasingly volatile trade environment. LTL Market Faces Soft Demand as Tonnage Declines Tonnage fell in May for multiple carriers . According to initial reports from Old Dominion Freight Line, Saia, and XPO, sluggish demand persisted in the market. LTL tonnage per day and shipments for these firms all declined compared to a year ago. However, the severity of the drops varied, with Old Dominion hit the hardest and Saia receding the least among the group. In contrast, ArcBest’s asset-based segment reported a 6% year-over-year increase in total tons per day for the month. That came as daily shipments were up 7% for May, “reflecting success in capturing new core business,” the company said. Saia bucked the trend, growing LTL weight per shipment by 3% year over year in May. Manufacturing woes and the customer makeup of these carriers are affecting their tonnage and weight changes. Experts say LTL carriers are navigating a low-demand environment by focusing on profitable lanes and contractual freight rather than chasing volume with pricing concessions. Tariff-Driven Trade Shifts Threaten West Coast Ports U.S. ports are navigating a shifting trade landscape as importers look to sidestep tariffs on Chinese goods, driving cargo diversification toward Southeast Asia and India. According to Larry Gross of Gross Transportation Consulting, the U.S. West Coast, which handled 57% of Chinese imports in 2024, is expected to lose the most as trade reroutes. Chinese volumes accounted for 65% of West Coast port traffic, while only 27% and 8% went to the East and Gulf coasts , respectively. Southeast Asian imports already account for 32% of 2024 TEUs, offering some relief, but not enough to offset the decline from China. When shippers pivot to India, the East Coast captures 86% of inbound freight, reinforcing its resilience. Additional shifts in supply chains, such as labor-related cargo diversions and closures of the Red Sea and Suez Canal, further complicate port planning. Gross warns that the West Coast faces a “triple-barreled threat” of lower trade volumes, loss of diverted cargo to the East and Gulf coasts, and the erosion of Chinese import dominance. Retail Layoffs Surge 274% Amid Tariffs, Economic Pessimism U.S. retailers cut nearly 76,000 jobs in the first five months of 2025. A 274% surge over the same period in 2024, driven by tariffs, economic pessimism, and shifting consumer spending patterns. According to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, retail ranked second in total job cuts, behind only government losses. May alone saw 11,483 layoffs in retail, up from 7,235 in April , reflecting industrywide struggles. Andrew Challenger, senior vice president at the firm, attributed the trend to tariffs, funding cuts, and economic headwinds that have forced companies to tighten budgets. Major brands like Nike, Walmart, and Procter & Gamble announced significant layoffs in May, with Nike shifting responsibilities within its global tech team, Walmart trimming 1,500 positions in tech and operations, and P&G slashing 7,000 nonmanufacturing jobs, which is about 15% of its workforce. Despite the cuts, overall U.S. employment grew by 139,000 in May, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%. Challenger noted that while some companies continue to hire, they do so cautiously, reflecting a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. Experience Seamless Shipping with Entourage Freight Solutions Entourage Freight Solutions believes in total transparency in the shipping process. That is why we invest in tech solutions that track every shipment extensively, monitor every driver, and extract every bit of efficiency without sacrificing quality. Our state-of-the-art platform utilizes cloud-based GPS tracking to keep you informed, reroutes shipments on the fly to avoid delays, and even responds to real-time market changes to ensure you receive your shipment on time and as soon as possible. Our Services Full Truckload (FTL): When you need a truck all to yourself. Less-Than-Truckload (LTL): Efficient solutions for multi-stop shipments or combining smaller loads to save on costs. Refrigerated Trucking: Keeping your temperature-sensitive products fresh and safe. Cross-Docking: Strategically located facilities in Shelby, Ohio, Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and Romulus, Michigan, for streamlined consolidation, storage, and distribution. Ready to experience a new level of service and control in your freight shipping? Request a quote today to see how Entourage Freight Solutions can help with your freight movement and other supply chain needs.