Dedicated Freight is in Focus as Shippers Brace for Major Trade Changes

Nick Terry • February 14, 2025

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As disruptions continue to impact supply chain operations, more shippers are turning to dedicated freight services as a strategy for ensuring resilience. Big trucking firms are also jumping on this trend because it ensures they can lock in longer-term contracts at better rates. These carriers are also making significant investments to keep up with the demand.


Meanwhile, the less-than-truckload (LTL) classification system is set to undergo a major revision in July. This revision will result in significant pricing changes, which have shippers worried. Shippers will have to be more precise to avoid paying more, which can also be a major plus for sustainability and profitability for carriers.


The freight industry is off to an intriguing year, and we are committed to bringing you all the latest trends, news, and insights. Continue reading to find out more.


Big Trucking Firms Shift Focus to Dedicated Freight Amid Market Shifts

Major U.S. truckload carriers have shifted more trucks and drivers into dedicated services to secure stable revenue and margins. This shift has been underway for years but picked up speed during the prolonged freight downturn. Shippers want to improve resilience, and one way to achieve that is searching for guaranteed capacity. Many have expanded private fleets since the pandemic.


Companies like Schneider National, J.B. Hunt, Knight-Swift, and Werner are making dedicated trucking a priority. Schneider now has 70% of its fleet dedicated, aided by its $421 million acquisition of Cowan Systems.
J.B. Hunt estimates the dedicated market is worth $90 billion and aims for profit margins between 12% and 14%, compared to just 4.7% in traditional truckload.


Carriers see dedicated trucking as a way to manage pricing volatility and are eager to
leverage the changing tide to lock in longer-term contracts. Some, like Knight-Swift, are also expanding into LTL services to reduce dependence on one-way freight. While spot market rates have hurt dedicated services, carriers expect demand to pick up later in 2025.


Shippers Brace for Major Overhaul of LTL Freight Classes

A major revision to the U.S. LTL classification system is set to take effect in July, leaving shippers concerned about pricing changes. The National Motor Freight Traffic Association (NMFTA) has proposed more than 90 updates. Although this is significantly more than usual, the updates will aim to simplify a system that dates back to the 1930s. 


The changes will put more weight on shipment density, meaning shippers must be precise with measurements to avoid unexpected costs. Some may need to invest in dimensioning equipment to comply. While officials say the update is not designed to raise rates, many expect pricing shifts, especially if they don’t adjust their shipping processes.


Companies are already working with carriers to understand the impact, with logistics teams reviewing freight dimensions and classifications. NMFTA is holding public meetings and webinars before finalizing the changes, and shippers are urged to prepare now to avoid surprises when the new rules take effect.


Trump Pauses Crackdown on Chinese Import Loophole

President Trump has delayed enforcing his order to suspend the de minimis trade provision, which allows low-value shipments from China to bypass duties and customs inspections. The provision, which applies to goods valued under $800, has been widely used by platforms like Shein and Temu to enhance their delivery to customers while offering the lowest possible prices.


However, it seems that other not-so-legitimate enterprises are also exploiting it. To tackle that, Trump initially suspended it as part of a broader tariff plan, which disrupted operations for e-commerce retailers and logistics operators. The U.S. Postal Service briefly stopped accepting parcels from China and Hong Kong before resuming service. The delay will remain in place until the Commerce Department sets up a system to inspect and tax these shipments. 


The surge in low-value imports has raised concerns over compliance burdens, as Customs cannot efficiently screen individual packages. In response to the uncertainty, some suppliers in Temu have reported price hikes and product removals.


Trump to Impose 25% Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum Imports

President Trump plans to impose a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports, including shipments from Canada and Mexico. He also has announced “reciprocal tariffs,” targeting countries that impose duties on U.S. goods. Following the news of the increased tariffs, shares of U.S. steel producers shot up in premarket trading, while global markets reacted with concern.


South Korea’s acting president convened a meeting to assess the impact, as the country exported nearly
$5 billion worth of steel to the United States last year. Trump has stated that these import duties will generate revenue and pressure trading partners. When he first mentioned the plan, financial markets dipped last week, with consumer sentiment surveys showing rising concern over inflation linked to tariffs.


While some duties on China were delayed, Trump has moved quickly to bring tariffs into play early in his presidency.


Freight Market Struggles as Shipments and Spending Drop in Q4

According to the U.S. Bank Freight Payment Index, the U.S. freight market remained sluggish in Q4, with shipments down nearly 16% and spending falling 22% year over year. The slow recovery has been tied to weak manufacturing activity and structural shifts, including private fleet expansions.


While industrial production has started showing signs of life, trucking demand has yet to see a sustained rebound. Some improvement has been noted, with capacity tightening and spending per truck rising. Spot rates for dry van freight have increased, and the gap between spot and contract rates has been closing, signaling a possible shift in pricing power toward carriers.


Maersk Reports Strong 2024 Earnings on Higher Freight Rates

Maersk posted $55.4 billion in revenue for 2024, marking its third-strongest financial year. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) rose to $12.1 billion while operating profit increased to $6.5 billion. Strong freight rates and stable demand were key to the company’s performance.


The ocean division generated $37.4 billion, with container rates rising 38.1%. Logistics and terminals also saw revenue growth. Due to Red Sea disruptions, Maersk managed higher fuel and handling costs caused by rerouting ships around Africa.


The company expects
4% container volume growth in 2025 but warns of ongoing supply-demand imbalances. Depending on when Red Sea routes reopen, it forecasts EBITDA between $6 billion and $9 billion. It also announced a $2 billion share buyback and a dividend.


Tariff Uncertainty and Frontloading Keep Container Rates High

The Trump administration’s ongoing tariff changes continue to drive uncertainty in the market, prompting shippers to move goods ahead of potential trade restrictions. Asia-U.S. West Coast spot rates rose 3% to $5,078 per forty-foot equivalent unit (FEU), while East Coast rates increased 1% to $6,718.


Recent tariff announcements on Mexican and Canadian imports were short-lived as they were delayed for a month, with only the 10% added tariffs on Chinese goods staying in effect. Beijing responded with 15% tariffs on coal, LNG, and machinery. The
possibility of a 60% tariff on Chinese goods adds to shipper concerns, reinforcing demand for early shipments. Red Sea diversions have kept trans-Pacific rates elevated, with some analysts predicting they could reach last July’s peak of $8,000 per FEU.


Meanwhile,
Asia-North Europe rates dropped 11% to $3,667 per FEU, and Asia-Mediterranean rates held steady at $5,069. Trump has signaled potential tariffs on the European Union, and carriers have already announced trans-Atlantic peak season surcharges for March, likely anticipating another wave of frontloading.


Entourage Freight Solutions: Food-Grade Expertise for All Your Shipping Needs

Our roots run deep in food service logistics, and our expertise and track record speak for themselves. At Entourage Freight Solutions, we’ve built our reputation on handling perishable and sensitive shipments with the utmost care and precision. This dedication to service and attention to detail extends to every shipment we touch — perishable or not.


We believe in total transparency. That is why we invest in tech solutions that extensively track every shipment, monitor every driver, and squeeze out every bit of efficiency without sacrificing quality. Our state-of-the-art platform uses cloud-based GPS tracking to keep you informed, reroutes shipments on the fly to avoid delays, and even reacts to real-time market changes to ensure you’re getting your shipments on time and as soon as possible.


Our Services

  • Full Truck Load (FTL): When you need a truck all to yourself.
  • Less Than Truckload (LTL): Efficient solutions for multi-stop shipments or combining smaller loads to save on costs.
  • Refrigerated Trucking: Keeping your temperature-sensitive products fresh and safe.
  • Cross Docking: Strategically located facilities in Shelby, Ohio, Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and Romulus, Michigan, for streamlined consolidation, storage, and distribution.


Ready to experience a new level of service and control in your freight shipping?
Request a quote today to see how Entourage Freight Solutions can help with your freight movement and other supply chain needs.


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The freight and logistics market has been navigating a turbulent spring as trade policy swings, supply chain bottlenecks, and shifting consumer behavior ripple through every link of the global network. From record layoffs in retail to volatility in Mexican cross-border shipments, the industry is feeling the heat. And port operators, warehouse managers, and transportation carriers alike are having to adapt to rapid changes in container flows, tariff impacts, and regulatory shifts . We have unpacked the critical developments around the freight world, each reflecting the delicate balance between capacity, demand, and regulation that supply chain leaders must navigate. Continue reading to find out more. Tariff Volatility Fuels Cross-Border Freight Swings U.S. shippers face erratic cross-border freight flows from Mexico as tariff uncertainties continue to disrupt their logistics and supply chain planning. According to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, U.S.-bound truck crossings rose 10.2% in January, fell 6.3% in February, spiked 12% in March, and dropped again by 4.5% in April . Averitt’s Edward Habe attributes this volatility to shippers’ attempts to beat tariff deadlines and navigate unpredictable trade announcements. Although a 25% tariff applies only to goods outside USMCA rules of origin, shippers remain cautious. At Eagle Pass, Texas, beer demand drove a 49.2% year-over-year surge in northbound trucks in Q1, and a considerable part of this was because of Constellation Brands’ Modelo shipments. Meanwhile, Otay Mesa’s volume plummeted 34.9% due to tariffs on Chinese and Southeast Asian imports, which impacted Mexican assembly plants. Key crossings like Laredo and El Paso posted modest declines, while Nogales, Arizona, saw a 4.4% gain. Experts have cautioned that cross-border trade will remain turbulent as long as tariffs fluctuate, making forecasting and operational planning challenging. Chassis Providers Mobilize for Import Surge With U.S. ports bracing for an influx of Chinese imports, America’s largest marine chassis providers — TRAC Intermodal, DCLI, and FlexiVan — are pulling tens of thousands of units from storage , inspecting, and repositioning them to key inland hubs like Chicago, Dallas, and Memphis. TRAC’s Val Noel said, “It could be like a tsunami,” as companies aim to avoid service disruptions. TRAC and DCLI are working closely with BNSF and Union Pacific to anticipate container volumes. FlexiVan, exiting Southern California’s Pool of Pools, is focusing on core partner Ocean Network Express and opened a new chassis pool at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Logistics providers say it takes weeks to inspect and repair stored chassis, a process they have accelerated since learning lessons during the pandemic. Private chassis pools and railroad container management have improved since the COVID-19 pandemic, reducing pressure on public chassis pools. However, with a surge expected this summer, providers are racing to ensure sufficient capacity and avoid bottlenecks that plagued past import booms. Forecast Points to Port Volatility Ahead U.S. retailers are anticipating a temporary surge in port activity this summer, driven by the 90-day U.S.-China tariff pause that slashed rates on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%. According to the National Retail Federation’s Global Port Tracker, this pause has prompted a rush to restock, with volumes rebounding in June to an estimated 2.01 million TEUs, despite being down 6.2% year over year . However, April’s peak at 2.21 million TEUs was short-lived, with May volumes projected to drop to 1.91 million TEUs, the lowest since December 2023. Retailers are also front-loading back-to-school and winter holiday orders, creating an unusual overlap of peak seasons. Yet, forecasts for September and October show sharp declines of 21.8% and 19.8%, respectively. With port labor strikes and tariff policy swings in play, importers face a turbulent second half of 2025, highlighting the challenges of managing global supply chains in an unpredictable trade environment. Tariff Whiplash Sparks Supply Chain Disruptions April saw the largest recorded monthly drop in the U.S. trade deficit, driven by a 16% import plunge after a tariff-driven order surge. The numbers highlight a troubling supply chain crunch. Data shows warehouse inventories are bloated while replenishment orders stall, widening the gap between inventory levels and costs to 26.8 points , the third highest on record. With storage fees still climbing, small businesses are particularly squeezed, says Colorado State’s Zachary Rogers. Freight rates on the China-U.S. route spiked 88%, with container spot rates expected to peak in June before easing. Flexport’s Ryan Petersen warns that stacked tariffs (some containers face 70% total duties) add layers of uncertainty. Smaller logistics providers, representing the “middle mile,” are hit hardest as large players hoard capacity. C.H. Robinson and Flexport offer tech solutions that help with tariff simulation, but July’s potential tariff increase continues to add uncertainty. The bottom line is that small and mid-tier firms bear the brunt of tariff swings, threatening their viability in an increasingly volatile trade environment. LTL Market Faces Soft Demand as Tonnage Declines Tonnage fell in May for multiple carriers . According to initial reports from Old Dominion Freight Line, Saia, and XPO, sluggish demand persisted in the market. LTL tonnage per day and shipments for these firms all declined compared to a year ago. However, the severity of the drops varied, with Old Dominion hit the hardest and Saia receding the least among the group. In contrast, ArcBest’s asset-based segment reported a 6% year-over-year increase in total tons per day for the month. That came as daily shipments were up 7% for May, “reflecting success in capturing new core business,” the company said. Saia bucked the trend, growing LTL weight per shipment by 3% year over year in May. Manufacturing woes and the customer makeup of these carriers are affecting their tonnage and weight changes. Experts say LTL carriers are navigating a low-demand environment by focusing on profitable lanes and contractual freight rather than chasing volume with pricing concessions. Tariff-Driven Trade Shifts Threaten West Coast Ports U.S. ports are navigating a shifting trade landscape as importers look to sidestep tariffs on Chinese goods, driving cargo diversification toward Southeast Asia and India. According to Larry Gross of Gross Transportation Consulting, the U.S. West Coast, which handled 57% of Chinese imports in 2024, is expected to lose the most as trade reroutes. Chinese volumes accounted for 65% of West Coast port traffic, while only 27% and 8% went to the East and Gulf coasts , respectively. Southeast Asian imports already account for 32% of 2024 TEUs, offering some relief, but not enough to offset the decline from China. When shippers pivot to India, the East Coast captures 86% of inbound freight, reinforcing its resilience. Additional shifts in supply chains, such as labor-related cargo diversions and closures of the Red Sea and Suez Canal, further complicate port planning. Gross warns that the West Coast faces a “triple-barreled threat” of lower trade volumes, loss of diverted cargo to the East and Gulf coasts, and the erosion of Chinese import dominance. Retail Layoffs Surge 274% Amid Tariffs, Economic Pessimism U.S. retailers cut nearly 76,000 jobs in the first five months of 2025. A 274% surge over the same period in 2024, driven by tariffs, economic pessimism, and shifting consumer spending patterns. According to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, retail ranked second in total job cuts, behind only government losses. May alone saw 11,483 layoffs in retail, up from 7,235 in April , reflecting industrywide struggles. Andrew Challenger, senior vice president at the firm, attributed the trend to tariffs, funding cuts, and economic headwinds that have forced companies to tighten budgets. Major brands like Nike, Walmart, and Procter & Gamble announced significant layoffs in May, with Nike shifting responsibilities within its global tech team, Walmart trimming 1,500 positions in tech and operations, and P&G slashing 7,000 nonmanufacturing jobs, which is about 15% of its workforce. Despite the cuts, overall U.S. employment grew by 139,000 in May, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%. Challenger noted that while some companies continue to hire, they do so cautiously, reflecting a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. Experience Seamless Shipping with Entourage Freight Solutions Entourage Freight Solutions believes in total transparency in the shipping process. That is why we invest in tech solutions that track every shipment extensively, monitor every driver, and extract every bit of efficiency without sacrificing quality. Our state-of-the-art platform utilizes cloud-based GPS tracking to keep you informed, reroutes shipments on the fly to avoid delays, and even responds to real-time market changes to ensure you receive your shipment on time and as soon as possible. Our Services Full Truckload (FTL): When you need a truck all to yourself. Less-Than-Truckload (LTL): Efficient solutions for multi-stop shipments or combining smaller loads to save on costs. Refrigerated Trucking: Keeping your temperature-sensitive products fresh and safe. Cross-Docking: Strategically located facilities in Shelby, Ohio, Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and Romulus, Michigan, for streamlined consolidation, storage, and distribution. Ready to experience a new level of service and control in your freight shipping? Request a quote today to see how Entourage Freight Solutions can help with your freight movement and other supply chain needs.