US Manufacturing on Road to Recovery Amid Tariffs Threats

Nick Terry • January 16, 2025

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The trucking industry and the freight world are gearing up for a new Trump presidency. While some experts believe tariffs would help increase domestic manufacturing, leading to more trucking moves, others contend that tariffs can harm the economy and reduce overall freight needs. 


The pandemic exposed a lot of supply chains across the U.S. and the world at large. The devastating disruptions from then still have some ripple effects to this day. However, learning from mistakes is what makes or breaks any business. To that effect, experts and business leaders gathered at
The Transportation Research Board’s 104th annual meeting to discuss the impacts of the pandemic and present supply chain vulnerabilities and strategies for going forward, especially in a year that is set to see an escalation in international trade policy wars.


Continue reading as we discuss some of the best topics, news, and trends in the freight world.


Manufacturing Sector Shows Signs of Recovery Amid Challenges

According to the Institute for Supply Management’s Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), the U.S. manufacturing sector ended 2024 with improved demand and production, rising as much as 49.3% in December. New orders and output climbed above growth thresholds, setting the stage for potential expansion in 2025.


Seven industries, including primary metals, electrical equipment, and plastics, reported growth during the manufacturing sector’s recovery. Concerns over potential tariff hikes have prompted manufacturers to explore alternative sourcing strategies. While tariff impacts are expected later in the year, cautious optimism remains over regulatory changes under the incoming administration.


S&P Global’s PMI painted a
slightly less optimistic picture, declining to 49.4 on the index due to drops in demand and production. Rising costs for raw materials like aluminum and copper added to challenges, although manufacturers anticipate improved employment and supply chain activity as demand increases in the coming months.


Building Resilient Supply Chains by Learning from Past Disruptions

The Transportation Research Board’s 104th annual meeting highlighted the importance of preparing supply chains for future disasters and catastrophic events. Panelists emphasized that while disasters often allow local resources to respond within days, catastrophes overwhelm local capacity, requiring stronger preparedness measures.


Speakers discussed how the
pandemic exposed vulnerabilities in global logistics and prompted new strategies to mitigate disruptions. These include scenario-based exercises, pre-positioning vital supplies, and fostering collaboration among ports, rail, and trucking systems. They also discussed the need for diversified port use, better infrastructure, and unified policies across jurisdictions. 


From handling labor strikes to addressing extreme weather impacts, experts stressed the importance of proactive planning, innovation, and balancing economic considerations with long-term resilience. As global supply chains face rising pressures, stakeholders must prioritize flexibility and coordination to navigate future challenges effectively.


Biden Administration Adjusts Rules for Hydrogen Tax Credit to Boost Domestic Production

The Biden administration has revised rules governing a key tax credit for hydrogen production, addressing concerns from industry stakeholders. The updated guidelines, released by the Treasury Department, aim to support domestic hydrogen manufacturing while maintaining environmental standards.


Changes include extended timelines for clean energy alignment with hydrogen production, expanded eligibility for certain nuclear power plants, and allowances for hydrogen produced from natural gas using carbon capture. Renewable natural gas from sources like wastewater, animal manure, and coal mines also qualifies.


The credit, offering up to $3 per kilogram, is designed to
promote hydrogen as a cleaner alternative for industries such as steelmaking and heavy transportation. Developers and companies welcomed the revisions, which they see as critical for advancing U.S. leadership in hydrogen energy.


Amazon Reaches Settlement with OSHA over Workplace Safety

Amazon and the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) have reached a settlement addressing allegations of ergonomic risks and workplace safety issues at the company’s facilities. This agreement concludes a multisite investigation spanning over a decade and resolves 10 cases previously set to go to trial next year.


Amazon has agreed to improve policies at a facility in Illinois cited for handling bulky items and will allow OSHA monitoring inspections at several locations. The company also accepted more than 90% of the penalties related to the citations. OSHA withdrew most ergonomic citations but clarified that some withdrawals were influenced by an ongoing investigation by the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York.


The settlement requires Amazon to implement
corporatewide ergonomic improvements across its warehouses. This comes amid increased scrutiny of working conditions, with recent strikes by unionized workers and a Senate report criticizing Amazon’s warehouse safety practices. Amazon has contested these claims, describing the report as outdated and misleading.


Shifts in Trucking Spot Rates Might Reflect Market Recovery

National trucking spot rates have shown varied movements across equipment types in recent months. Dry van rates have steadily increased, especially in December, with consecutive weekly gains and higher year-over-year averages. Reefer and flatbed rates have fluctuated, reflecting seasonal and regional factors such as holiday demand and hurricane impacts.


Capacity constraints, changes in load volumes, and external disruptions like strikes and weather events have influenced these shifts. The market is experiencing signs of recovery from prolonged contraction, with recent data hinting at a new freight cycle. Frequent updates on these rates provide a window into evolving market conditions.


Record Highway Congestion Costs Impact US Trucking in 2022

The American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI) reported that highway congestion imposed a record $108.8 billion burden on the trucking industry in 2022. This figure represents a 15% rise from the previous high of $94.6 billion in 2021, despite a slight reduction in total congestion hours, which fell by 5.4% due to a slowing freight market.


Key contributors to the surge included higher operational costs driven by increased diesel prices, supply chain disruptions affecting vehicle production and maintenance, and rising labor expenses. ATRI noted that each registered combination truck incurred an average congestion-related cost of $7,588, equivalent to 430,000 truck drivers idling for an entire work year.


Congestion also led to the waste of more than 6.4 billion gallons of diesel, adding
$32.1 billion in fuel costs and generating significant environmental impacts, including 65.4 million metric tons of additional carbon dioxide emissions. The most affected areas included major metropolitan hubs like New York City, Miami, and Chicago, with smaller cities such as New Orleans, Buffalo, New York, and El Paso, Texas, experiencing sharp increases in congestion-related costs due to trade growth following the pandemic.


Although federal, state, and local governments allocated $232 billion to highway infrastructure in 2022, ATRI questioned whether these investments effectively targeted the most critical congestion hotspots. This suggests better prioritization in infrastructure planning.


2025 Trucking Conferences: Your Guide to Key Industry Events

Industry conferences remain a cornerstone for trucking professionals seeking to stay informed, connected, and competitive. These events bring together executives, analysts, and investors, offering opportunities for networking, learning, and collaboration.


The lineup of trucking conferences in 2025 includes events across the country, from
SMC³’s deep dive into LTL strategies to ATA’s premier gathering for trucking leaders. Highlights from the conferences will include sessions on artificial intelligence, alternative fuels, safety innovations, and hands-on experiences with the latest equipment.


Whether you’re looking to explore emerging technologies, refine your strategies, or strengthen your industry connections, these conferences offer valuable opportunities to engage with peers and leaders shaping the future of trucking.


Navigate Truck Rates and Financials with Entourage Freight Solutions

Trucking rates are treading around historic lows. While this can seem like good news for shippers looking to contract their freight or ship it via the spot market, it also means the market is somewhat unstable, and trucking carriers will do what they can to recoup costs and stay afloat. 


Shippers need access to freight management services and real-time data to keep up with their shipments and stabilize in a volatile environment. 


Entourage Freight Solutions provides steady services that help you navigate an ever-changing logistics environment and receive important information in real time. 


Entourage Freight Solutions offers the following services and many more:

 

  • Our LTL Service provides on-demand access to capacity, real-time data, and peace of mind in this high-stakes world. 
  • Our Freight Management lets your team stay organized across inbound and outbound logistics, tracking market capacity and using automation notifications to keep everyone informed. 
  • Our Refrigerated Transport provides expertise in everything from finished goods to raw materials, ensuring products arrive on time and in top condition. 


Request a quote
today to see how Entourage Freight Solutions can help with your freight movement and other supply chain needs.


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The freight and logistics market has been navigating a turbulent spring as trade policy swings, supply chain bottlenecks, and shifting consumer behavior ripple through every link of the global network. From record layoffs in retail to volatility in Mexican cross-border shipments, the industry is feeling the heat. And port operators, warehouse managers, and transportation carriers alike are having to adapt to rapid changes in container flows, tariff impacts, and regulatory shifts . We have unpacked the critical developments around the freight world, each reflecting the delicate balance between capacity, demand, and regulation that supply chain leaders must navigate. Continue reading to find out more. Tariff Volatility Fuels Cross-Border Freight Swings U.S. shippers face erratic cross-border freight flows from Mexico as tariff uncertainties continue to disrupt their logistics and supply chain planning. According to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, U.S.-bound truck crossings rose 10.2% in January, fell 6.3% in February, spiked 12% in March, and dropped again by 4.5% in April . Averitt’s Edward Habe attributes this volatility to shippers’ attempts to beat tariff deadlines and navigate unpredictable trade announcements. Although a 25% tariff applies only to goods outside USMCA rules of origin, shippers remain cautious. At Eagle Pass, Texas, beer demand drove a 49.2% year-over-year surge in northbound trucks in Q1, and a considerable part of this was because of Constellation Brands’ Modelo shipments. Meanwhile, Otay Mesa’s volume plummeted 34.9% due to tariffs on Chinese and Southeast Asian imports, which impacted Mexican assembly plants. Key crossings like Laredo and El Paso posted modest declines, while Nogales, Arizona, saw a 4.4% gain. Experts have cautioned that cross-border trade will remain turbulent as long as tariffs fluctuate, making forecasting and operational planning challenging. Chassis Providers Mobilize for Import Surge With U.S. ports bracing for an influx of Chinese imports, America’s largest marine chassis providers — TRAC Intermodal, DCLI, and FlexiVan — are pulling tens of thousands of units from storage , inspecting, and repositioning them to key inland hubs like Chicago, Dallas, and Memphis. TRAC’s Val Noel said, “It could be like a tsunami,” as companies aim to avoid service disruptions. TRAC and DCLI are working closely with BNSF and Union Pacific to anticipate container volumes. FlexiVan, exiting Southern California’s Pool of Pools, is focusing on core partner Ocean Network Express and opened a new chassis pool at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Logistics providers say it takes weeks to inspect and repair stored chassis, a process they have accelerated since learning lessons during the pandemic. Private chassis pools and railroad container management have improved since the COVID-19 pandemic, reducing pressure on public chassis pools. However, with a surge expected this summer, providers are racing to ensure sufficient capacity and avoid bottlenecks that plagued past import booms. Forecast Points to Port Volatility Ahead U.S. retailers are anticipating a temporary surge in port activity this summer, driven by the 90-day U.S.-China tariff pause that slashed rates on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%. According to the National Retail Federation’s Global Port Tracker, this pause has prompted a rush to restock, with volumes rebounding in June to an estimated 2.01 million TEUs, despite being down 6.2% year over year . However, April’s peak at 2.21 million TEUs was short-lived, with May volumes projected to drop to 1.91 million TEUs, the lowest since December 2023. Retailers are also front-loading back-to-school and winter holiday orders, creating an unusual overlap of peak seasons. Yet, forecasts for September and October show sharp declines of 21.8% and 19.8%, respectively. With port labor strikes and tariff policy swings in play, importers face a turbulent second half of 2025, highlighting the challenges of managing global supply chains in an unpredictable trade environment. Tariff Whiplash Sparks Supply Chain Disruptions April saw the largest recorded monthly drop in the U.S. trade deficit, driven by a 16% import plunge after a tariff-driven order surge. The numbers highlight a troubling supply chain crunch. Data shows warehouse inventories are bloated while replenishment orders stall, widening the gap between inventory levels and costs to 26.8 points , the third highest on record. With storage fees still climbing, small businesses are particularly squeezed, says Colorado State’s Zachary Rogers. Freight rates on the China-U.S. route spiked 88%, with container spot rates expected to peak in June before easing. Flexport’s Ryan Petersen warns that stacked tariffs (some containers face 70% total duties) add layers of uncertainty. Smaller logistics providers, representing the “middle mile,” are hit hardest as large players hoard capacity. C.H. Robinson and Flexport offer tech solutions that help with tariff simulation, but July’s potential tariff increase continues to add uncertainty. The bottom line is that small and mid-tier firms bear the brunt of tariff swings, threatening their viability in an increasingly volatile trade environment. LTL Market Faces Soft Demand as Tonnage Declines Tonnage fell in May for multiple carriers . According to initial reports from Old Dominion Freight Line, Saia, and XPO, sluggish demand persisted in the market. LTL tonnage per day and shipments for these firms all declined compared to a year ago. However, the severity of the drops varied, with Old Dominion hit the hardest and Saia receding the least among the group. In contrast, ArcBest’s asset-based segment reported a 6% year-over-year increase in total tons per day for the month. That came as daily shipments were up 7% for May, “reflecting success in capturing new core business,” the company said. Saia bucked the trend, growing LTL weight per shipment by 3% year over year in May. Manufacturing woes and the customer makeup of these carriers are affecting their tonnage and weight changes. Experts say LTL carriers are navigating a low-demand environment by focusing on profitable lanes and contractual freight rather than chasing volume with pricing concessions. Tariff-Driven Trade Shifts Threaten West Coast Ports U.S. ports are navigating a shifting trade landscape as importers look to sidestep tariffs on Chinese goods, driving cargo diversification toward Southeast Asia and India. According to Larry Gross of Gross Transportation Consulting, the U.S. West Coast, which handled 57% of Chinese imports in 2024, is expected to lose the most as trade reroutes. Chinese volumes accounted for 65% of West Coast port traffic, while only 27% and 8% went to the East and Gulf coasts , respectively. Southeast Asian imports already account for 32% of 2024 TEUs, offering some relief, but not enough to offset the decline from China. When shippers pivot to India, the East Coast captures 86% of inbound freight, reinforcing its resilience. Additional shifts in supply chains, such as labor-related cargo diversions and closures of the Red Sea and Suez Canal, further complicate port planning. Gross warns that the West Coast faces a “triple-barreled threat” of lower trade volumes, loss of diverted cargo to the East and Gulf coasts, and the erosion of Chinese import dominance. Retail Layoffs Surge 274% Amid Tariffs, Economic Pessimism U.S. retailers cut nearly 76,000 jobs in the first five months of 2025. A 274% surge over the same period in 2024, driven by tariffs, economic pessimism, and shifting consumer spending patterns. According to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, retail ranked second in total job cuts, behind only government losses. May alone saw 11,483 layoffs in retail, up from 7,235 in April , reflecting industrywide struggles. Andrew Challenger, senior vice president at the firm, attributed the trend to tariffs, funding cuts, and economic headwinds that have forced companies to tighten budgets. Major brands like Nike, Walmart, and Procter & Gamble announced significant layoffs in May, with Nike shifting responsibilities within its global tech team, Walmart trimming 1,500 positions in tech and operations, and P&G slashing 7,000 nonmanufacturing jobs, which is about 15% of its workforce. Despite the cuts, overall U.S. employment grew by 139,000 in May, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%. Challenger noted that while some companies continue to hire, they do so cautiously, reflecting a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. Experience Seamless Shipping with Entourage Freight Solutions Entourage Freight Solutions believes in total transparency in the shipping process. That is why we invest in tech solutions that track every shipment extensively, monitor every driver, and extract every bit of efficiency without sacrificing quality. Our state-of-the-art platform utilizes cloud-based GPS tracking to keep you informed, reroutes shipments on the fly to avoid delays, and even responds to real-time market changes to ensure you receive your shipment on time and as soon as possible. Our Services Full Truckload (FTL): When you need a truck all to yourself. Less-Than-Truckload (LTL): Efficient solutions for multi-stop shipments or combining smaller loads to save on costs. Refrigerated Trucking: Keeping your temperature-sensitive products fresh and safe. Cross-Docking: Strategically located facilities in Shelby, Ohio, Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and Romulus, Michigan, for streamlined consolidation, storage, and distribution. Ready to experience a new level of service and control in your freight shipping? Request a quote today to see how Entourage Freight Solutions can help with your freight movement and other supply chain needs.