Modest Recovery for Trucking Spot Rates As Nearshoring Benefits Mexico

Nick Terry • October 30, 2024

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Trucking spot rates have stagnated over the last couple of years since the pandemic but began fluctuating in 2024. Most of these were spurred by increasing seasonal demands and the double hurricanes that wrecked parts of the country, including North Carolina, Georgia, and Florida. October has seen the most spike in a long time, but even at that, the rates are still below pre-pandemic levels.


Supply chains across North America are changing their mode of operations as more of them favor a localized process that would avoid the rigors of geopolitical crises and trading wars. Meanwhile, Douglas Horn, a dismissed truck driver, took on the U.S. Supreme Court in a case that could expand civil RICO to false advertising cases.


This edition of our newsletter is packed with intriguing news and trends shaping the freight market.


Trucking Spot Rates See Modest Recovery Amid Mixed Market Trends

According to data from DAT Freight & Analytics, 2024 has seen fluctuating trucking spot rates in the U.S. At its peak, the COVID-19 pandemic caused a surge in demand and spot rates. However, the industry has experienced two years of weaker conditions since then. The national spot rates for dry van, reefer, and flatbed equipment types have seen minimal changes. 


This situation might be improving, thanks to disruptions from a strong hurricane season that increased demand in October 2024, signaling an end to the prolonged market contraction. However, rates remain well below the pandemic highs. Despite the surge in spot rates, regional variations were noted, particularly in the Southeast, where hurricanes impacted transportation modes. 


Nonetheless, the
overall market is still in recovery, with moderate gains and slight upward movement in rates as the industry stabilizes.


Nearshoring Trends Reshape US Supply Chains with Mexico as Key Beneficiary

Recent crises, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the Panama Canal drought, have driven the shift from globalized sourcing towards more localized, resilient supply chains. A KPMG survey of 250 U.S.-based executives from large companies revealed that major U.S. supply chains are shifting towards nearshoring, focusing mainly on North and South America.


Supply chains in these regions are expected to increase from 59% to 69% over the next two years. As far as countries go, Mexico is taking the lead, increasing from 27% to 36% and replacing Canada as the second-most favored nearshoring destination. While the U.S. share of these operations is projected to drop to 44%, Mexico is expected to rise as a prominent location, increasing from 27% to 36%, replacing Canada as the second-most favored nearshoring destination.


The Mexican preference is attributed to its
low labor costs and strategic positioning under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), making it a key player in replacing China as the largest U.S. import market.


Supreme Court Hears Case on Truck Driver's Firing Over CBD Use and RICO Law Implications

Arguments in the case of Douglas Horn, a truck driver dismissed after failing a marijuana test despite only using a CBD product, were recently heard in the U.S. Supreme Court. According to Horn, the product, Dixie X, was falsely marketed as THC-free, which was wrong and led to his dismissal.


The central legal question is whether Horn's firing qualifies for damages under the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO). Horn's legal team claims that the CBD maker's misrepresentation harmed his economic status by causing job loss. If that argument is successful,
Horn could receive triple damages under RICO.


However, before that, the Supreme Court must decide whether Horn's job termination and subsequent economic loss constitute "injury" or "damages." The distinction is critical to RICO's applicability. The case is already a bit skewed as Justice Kavanaugh expresses concerns about expanding civil RICO to false advertising cases, potentially setting a broad precedent for future litigation.


GM Invests $625 Million in Nevada Lithium Mine to Secure EV Supply Chain

General Motors (GM) has announced a joint venture with Lithium Americas that will see the former invest $625 million in the Thacker Pass lithium mine in Nevada. The deal replaces the previous agreement and increases GM's total investment in the project to $945 million. 


GM expects to leverage this venture to secure domestic lithium supplies crucial for
electric vehicle (EV) batteries, aiming to comply with the Inflation Reduction Act and qualify for EV tax credits. The company will receive up to 100% of the lithium produced in the mine's initial phase for up to 20 years. Construction is already underway, and the project is expected to begin production in late 2027.


Volvo Group Faces Profit Decline Amid Lower Truck Demand and Supply Chain Challenges

Decreasing demand for trucks in Europe and America is still impacting truck manufacturers and their balance sheets. The most recent victim is the Volvo Group, which reported a 28.5% drop in Q3 2024 profits, with earnings falling to $956.6 million. Revenue fell 12% to $11.1 billion, while the company's operating margin declined from 13.8% to 12%.


Trucking orders from
North America dropped by 50%. For the Volvo Group, that meant a 39% decrease for Volvo Trucks and a 56% drop for Mack Trucks. In addition to declining demand, supply chain delays have further constrained their ability to deliver on time. In response, Volvo has acquired a North Carolina plant to address issues with Mack cab production.


Despite these challenges, Volvo is optimistic about future improvements, especially with Mack Trucks.


Flexibility and Networking Help Small Carriers Weather Freight Market Challenges

Moscoso Express has thrived in a market riddled by nearly two years of stagnancy, which has caused some carriers to exit the industry. The company has remained successful in the now-dreaded market by leveraging technology, staying flexible, and expanding its client base.


Company president Elizabeth Moscoso shared insights on managing business expenses, utilizing technology to find loads, and focusing on short-term, high-demand jobs, like conference logistics, during the Inland Distribution Conference in Chicago. It has also helped them reduce
operational expenses.


Networking with other carriers and developing a diverse client base has also paid off and is a key aspect of their resilience. Similarly,
Damien Hutchins of CloudTrucks emphasized the importance of building relationships with shippers and expanding from niche services to broader opportunities.


Biden Administration Pledges $2B for Power Grid Resilience Against Extreme Weather

The Biden administration is investing nearly $2 billion to bolster the U.S. power grid against extreme weather and support transmission projects. The funding, distributed by the Department of Energy, will go to 32 projects across 42 states.


This initiative aims to enhance grid resilience, including in areas damaged by hurricanes Helene and Milton. It involves constructing over 300 miles of new transmission lines and upgrading more than 650 miles of existing ones.


The effort comes in response to the growing challenges posed by severe weather on the nation's aging electric infrastructure, as highlighted by Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm.


Seamless Shipping Solutions With Entourage Freight Solutions

Entourage Freight Solutions stands out with its extensive background and expertise in food service logistics. Our unique approach, honed in the food supply chain, ensures an unmatched service level and extreme attention to detail in meeting all our shippers’ needs.


Our platforms use the latest cloud-based, GPS-enabled technologies. They can track drivers regardless of location, continuously reroute shipments based on the dynamics at play, such as weather or traffic, and account for real-time changes in market rates. At EFS, we offer a broad range of unsurpassed services. These include:


  • Full Truck Load (FTL)
    : For shipment requiring a dedicated whole truckload.
  • Less than truckload (LTL): For companies moving multiple LTL shipments to different locations or consolidating LTL goods from other companies to get a lower all-in rate.
  • Refrigerated Trucking or “Reefer” Transportation: Leveraged to avoid spoilage and damage to temperature-sensitive goods.
  • Cross Docking: With locations in Shelby, Ohio, Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and Romulus, Michigan, that serve as cross-docks for strategic consolidation, storage, and end-to-end distribution programs.


Request a quote
today to see how Entourage Freight Solutions can help with your freight movement and other supply chain needs.


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The freight and logistics market has been navigating a turbulent spring as trade policy swings, supply chain bottlenecks, and shifting consumer behavior ripple through every link of the global network. From record layoffs in retail to volatility in Mexican cross-border shipments, the industry is feeling the heat. And port operators, warehouse managers, and transportation carriers alike are having to adapt to rapid changes in container flows, tariff impacts, and regulatory shifts . We have unpacked the critical developments around the freight world, each reflecting the delicate balance between capacity, demand, and regulation that supply chain leaders must navigate. Continue reading to find out more. Tariff Volatility Fuels Cross-Border Freight Swings U.S. shippers face erratic cross-border freight flows from Mexico as tariff uncertainties continue to disrupt their logistics and supply chain planning. According to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, U.S.-bound truck crossings rose 10.2% in January, fell 6.3% in February, spiked 12% in March, and dropped again by 4.5% in April . Averitt’s Edward Habe attributes this volatility to shippers’ attempts to beat tariff deadlines and navigate unpredictable trade announcements. Although a 25% tariff applies only to goods outside USMCA rules of origin, shippers remain cautious. At Eagle Pass, Texas, beer demand drove a 49.2% year-over-year surge in northbound trucks in Q1, and a considerable part of this was because of Constellation Brands’ Modelo shipments. Meanwhile, Otay Mesa’s volume plummeted 34.9% due to tariffs on Chinese and Southeast Asian imports, which impacted Mexican assembly plants. Key crossings like Laredo and El Paso posted modest declines, while Nogales, Arizona, saw a 4.4% gain. Experts have cautioned that cross-border trade will remain turbulent as long as tariffs fluctuate, making forecasting and operational planning challenging. Chassis Providers Mobilize for Import Surge With U.S. ports bracing for an influx of Chinese imports, America’s largest marine chassis providers — TRAC Intermodal, DCLI, and FlexiVan — are pulling tens of thousands of units from storage , inspecting, and repositioning them to key inland hubs like Chicago, Dallas, and Memphis. TRAC’s Val Noel said, “It could be like a tsunami,” as companies aim to avoid service disruptions. TRAC and DCLI are working closely with BNSF and Union Pacific to anticipate container volumes. FlexiVan, exiting Southern California’s Pool of Pools, is focusing on core partner Ocean Network Express and opened a new chassis pool at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Logistics providers say it takes weeks to inspect and repair stored chassis, a process they have accelerated since learning lessons during the pandemic. Private chassis pools and railroad container management have improved since the COVID-19 pandemic, reducing pressure on public chassis pools. However, with a surge expected this summer, providers are racing to ensure sufficient capacity and avoid bottlenecks that plagued past import booms. Forecast Points to Port Volatility Ahead U.S. retailers are anticipating a temporary surge in port activity this summer, driven by the 90-day U.S.-China tariff pause that slashed rates on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%. According to the National Retail Federation’s Global Port Tracker, this pause has prompted a rush to restock, with volumes rebounding in June to an estimated 2.01 million TEUs, despite being down 6.2% year over year . However, April’s peak at 2.21 million TEUs was short-lived, with May volumes projected to drop to 1.91 million TEUs, the lowest since December 2023. Retailers are also front-loading back-to-school and winter holiday orders, creating an unusual overlap of peak seasons. Yet, forecasts for September and October show sharp declines of 21.8% and 19.8%, respectively. With port labor strikes and tariff policy swings in play, importers face a turbulent second half of 2025, highlighting the challenges of managing global supply chains in an unpredictable trade environment. Tariff Whiplash Sparks Supply Chain Disruptions April saw the largest recorded monthly drop in the U.S. trade deficit, driven by a 16% import plunge after a tariff-driven order surge. The numbers highlight a troubling supply chain crunch. Data shows warehouse inventories are bloated while replenishment orders stall, widening the gap between inventory levels and costs to 26.8 points , the third highest on record. With storage fees still climbing, small businesses are particularly squeezed, says Colorado State’s Zachary Rogers. Freight rates on the China-U.S. route spiked 88%, with container spot rates expected to peak in June before easing. Flexport’s Ryan Petersen warns that stacked tariffs (some containers face 70% total duties) add layers of uncertainty. Smaller logistics providers, representing the “middle mile,” are hit hardest as large players hoard capacity. C.H. Robinson and Flexport offer tech solutions that help with tariff simulation, but July’s potential tariff increase continues to add uncertainty. The bottom line is that small and mid-tier firms bear the brunt of tariff swings, threatening their viability in an increasingly volatile trade environment. LTL Market Faces Soft Demand as Tonnage Declines Tonnage fell in May for multiple carriers . According to initial reports from Old Dominion Freight Line, Saia, and XPO, sluggish demand persisted in the market. LTL tonnage per day and shipments for these firms all declined compared to a year ago. However, the severity of the drops varied, with Old Dominion hit the hardest and Saia receding the least among the group. In contrast, ArcBest’s asset-based segment reported a 6% year-over-year increase in total tons per day for the month. That came as daily shipments were up 7% for May, “reflecting success in capturing new core business,” the company said. Saia bucked the trend, growing LTL weight per shipment by 3% year over year in May. Manufacturing woes and the customer makeup of these carriers are affecting their tonnage and weight changes. Experts say LTL carriers are navigating a low-demand environment by focusing on profitable lanes and contractual freight rather than chasing volume with pricing concessions. Tariff-Driven Trade Shifts Threaten West Coast Ports U.S. ports are navigating a shifting trade landscape as importers look to sidestep tariffs on Chinese goods, driving cargo diversification toward Southeast Asia and India. According to Larry Gross of Gross Transportation Consulting, the U.S. West Coast, which handled 57% of Chinese imports in 2024, is expected to lose the most as trade reroutes. Chinese volumes accounted for 65% of West Coast port traffic, while only 27% and 8% went to the East and Gulf coasts , respectively. Southeast Asian imports already account for 32% of 2024 TEUs, offering some relief, but not enough to offset the decline from China. When shippers pivot to India, the East Coast captures 86% of inbound freight, reinforcing its resilience. Additional shifts in supply chains, such as labor-related cargo diversions and closures of the Red Sea and Suez Canal, further complicate port planning. Gross warns that the West Coast faces a “triple-barreled threat” of lower trade volumes, loss of diverted cargo to the East and Gulf coasts, and the erosion of Chinese import dominance. Retail Layoffs Surge 274% Amid Tariffs, Economic Pessimism U.S. retailers cut nearly 76,000 jobs in the first five months of 2025. A 274% surge over the same period in 2024, driven by tariffs, economic pessimism, and shifting consumer spending patterns. According to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, retail ranked second in total job cuts, behind only government losses. May alone saw 11,483 layoffs in retail, up from 7,235 in April , reflecting industrywide struggles. Andrew Challenger, senior vice president at the firm, attributed the trend to tariffs, funding cuts, and economic headwinds that have forced companies to tighten budgets. Major brands like Nike, Walmart, and Procter & Gamble announced significant layoffs in May, with Nike shifting responsibilities within its global tech team, Walmart trimming 1,500 positions in tech and operations, and P&G slashing 7,000 nonmanufacturing jobs, which is about 15% of its workforce. Despite the cuts, overall U.S. employment grew by 139,000 in May, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%. Challenger noted that while some companies continue to hire, they do so cautiously, reflecting a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. Experience Seamless Shipping with Entourage Freight Solutions Entourage Freight Solutions believes in total transparency in the shipping process. That is why we invest in tech solutions that track every shipment extensively, monitor every driver, and extract every bit of efficiency without sacrificing quality. Our state-of-the-art platform utilizes cloud-based GPS tracking to keep you informed, reroutes shipments on the fly to avoid delays, and even responds to real-time market changes to ensure you receive your shipment on time and as soon as possible. Our Services Full Truckload (FTL): When you need a truck all to yourself. Less-Than-Truckload (LTL): Efficient solutions for multi-stop shipments or combining smaller loads to save on costs. Refrigerated Trucking: Keeping your temperature-sensitive products fresh and safe. Cross-Docking: Strategically located facilities in Shelby, Ohio, Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and Romulus, Michigan, for streamlined consolidation, storage, and distribution. Ready to experience a new level of service and control in your freight shipping? Request a quote today to see how Entourage Freight Solutions can help with your freight movement and other supply chain needs.