Looming Strike at East and Gulf Coasts Ports Amid Falling Fuel Prices

Nick Terry • September 26, 2024

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At this point, the impending International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) strike, which will impact container port operations from Boston to Houston, is likely inevitable. With major consequences bound to shake up the economy and supply chains across various industries, it is unclear how stakeholders can avoid it.


Diesel prices continue to decline amid bearish markets driven by factors like Libya's reduced oil exports and notable short positions across the market. Futures, on the other hand, have rebounded slightly, prompting a major bank to revise its downward forecast. Explore all this, and much more, in this edition of the newsletter.


Strike Threat at East and Gulf Coast Ports Sparks Concern

The impending contract expiration between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and the United States Maritime Alliance is poised to shake up the shipping world. The current agreement, which covers container ports from Maine to Texas, will end on Sep. 30. Still, with no formal contract negotiations held for months, the threat of a major disruption looms as the deadline approaches.


The union rhetoric continues to intensify, with the ILA preparing for a strike beyond just a "potential" at this point. In anticipation of disruptions, retailers have frontloaded shipments and continue to shift cargo to the West Coast ports. However, that may not be enough to avoid disruptions and their
ripple effects across various supply chains. They could hurt imports and exports and lead to backlogs.


The obvious victims are delayed holiday shipments, partial or complete halting of manufacturing supply chains, and agricultural exports. Experts are warning that such a strike could have significant economic repercussions, similar to the 2002 West Coast port lockout, which cost the U.S. economy $1 billion per day.


Bearish Market Sees Diesel Prices Decline for 10th Straight Week

Diesel prices are still searching for a bottom as the average weekly retail diesel price dropped for the tenth consecutive week. Today, the average retail price sits at $3.526 per gallon, down by 33.9 cents over that period. The current benchmark price is about $1.10 lower than a year ago. 


The recent decline in retail prices mirrors the drop in ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD) futures, which hit a low of $2.058 per gallon on September 10. However, since then, ULSD prices have slightly rebounded, closing at $2.0958 on Monday. Despite this, the market remains largely bearish, driven by factors like Libya's reduced oil exports and a notable increase in short positions in the
Brent crude market


UBS has also revised its oil price forecasts downward, projecting $75 per barrel for Brent crude in Q4, down from a previous estimate of $83.


Retailers and Manufacturers Continue to Brace for Potential Disruption

Retailers and manufacturers brace for the potential impact of the multibillion-dollar disruption of their supply chains and the economy if the ILA goes on strike starting October 1. The looming strike will primarily affect major East Coast and Gulf Coast ports. Still, considering that many businesses are already redirecting shipments to the West Coast, it could lead to massive congestion at these ports. 


The current contract between the ILA and the United States Maritime Alliance, which covers 25,000 workers and also represents port management, expires on September 30. Businesses and supply chains have spent months preparing for this, with many frontloading shipments or shifting imports to the West Coast to avoid disruptions during the peak holiday season. However, it is increasingly clear that this only slightly solves the problem.


A strike would impact
billions of dollars worth of imports and exports, and stakeholders are currently panicking. Retailers fear delays in holiday shipments, manufacturers worry about supply chain breakdowns, and farmers could lose access to overseas markets.


The National Retail Federation (NRF) and the National Association of Manufacturers (NAM) have warned that a prolonged strike could raise costs, disrupt supply chains, and result in job losses.


Freight Market Remains in Trough as Expenditures Decline in August

Data from August 2024 Cass Information Systems shows the U.S. freight market is still experiencing a trough. Shipments declined 1.9% year-over-year (y/y), following a 1.1% y/y decline in July. However, the drop was smaller than expected. 


On the other hand, seasonally adjusted shipments improved by 1% from July, marking a second consecutive monthly increase, though they remain 12.3% below 2022 levels. Freight expenditures dropped 9% year over year and 1.3% from July, reflecting the overall decline in freight spending, with "inferred freight rates" down 7% year over year. 


The Cass Truckload Linehaul Index, which tracks core linehaul rates excluding fuel surcharges, also showed a 3.3% y/y decline. Market overcapacity has kept bids competitive, resulting in stagnant contract freight rates despite a slight increase in spot rates. According to industry leaders and experts, the
industry continues to recover slowly from a prolonged recession, with no significant market inflection yet.


Industry Unites to Electrify Interstate 10 Trucking Corridor For Zero-Emission Freight

A coalition of industry giants, including Microsoft, PepsiCo, Maersk, DB Schenker, and AIT Worldwide, is spearheading an initiative to electrify the Interstate 10 trucking corridor, which runs from Los Angeles to El Paso, Texas. The effort focuses on developing charging infrastructure for long-haul battery-electric trucks along this key trade route, which connects the nation’s busiest ports to the second-largest border crossing.


The project, part of the
U.S. government's National Zero-Emission Freight Corridor Strategy, is supported by TeraWatt Infrastructure, which will provide charging solutions at six hubs along I-10. PepsiCo and Maersk, with their massive fleets and ambitious sustainability goals, are leading the charge, along with DB Schenker, which was recently acquired by DSV.


The initiative reflects a broader effort to build a sustainable logistics framework and accelerate truck electrification, contributing to significant carbon reduction. The I-10 pilot project is set to create a blueprint for scaling fleet electrification across the country.


Alabama Jury Awards $160 Million in Truck Rollover Case Against Daimler

In a nuclear verdict that shocked the freight world, an Alabama jury awarded $160 million in damages to Leonard Wiley Streets, who became a quadriplegic after a 2022 rollover accident involving a Western Star truck manufactured by Daimler Truck North America. The accident occurred when another vehicle veered into Streets' lane, causing his truck to overturn. 


The jury in the case awarded Streets $75 million in compensatory damages and $75 million in punitive damages, while his wife received $10 million for loss of consortium. The case centered on allegations that design flaws in the truck's roof structure and suspension seat contributed to Streets' severe injury, though Daimler disputed the claims and plans to appeal. 


Despite the shock of the verdict, it is just the second major product liability verdict against truck manufacturers in recent weeks, following a $462 million verdict in St. Louis against Wabash National Corp.


Biden Administration Proposes De Minimis Reform to Curb Abuse

The de minimis exemption allows imports below $800 to avoid duties and taxes, but pressure has been mounting on the Biden-Harris administration to reform or eliminate it. The administration has pushed new proposals that would eliminate de minimis eligibility for shipments covered by Section 301, 201, and 232 tariffs to prevent foreign businesses, particularly from China, from exploiting the exemption.


Key changes include enhanced information collection, requiring importers to file tariff classification numbers and certificates of compliance electronically with U.S. Customs. The administration also called for Congressional action to pass additional de minimis reforms, focusing on protecting U.S. workers and industries, particularly the textile and apparel sectors. 


Finally, It is important to note that
multiple legislative proposals related to de minimis reform have been introduced but have not yet been passed.


Navigating The Freight Market With Entourage Freight Solutions

Entourage Freight Solutions stands out with its extensive background and expertise in food service logistics. Our unique approach, honed in the food supply chain, ensures an unmatched service level and extreme attention to detail in meeting all our shippers’ needs.


Our platforms use the latest cloud-based, GPS-enabled technologies. They can track drivers regardless of location, continuously reroute shipments based on the dynamics at play, such as weather or traffic, and account for real-time changes in market rates. At EFS, we offer a broad range of unsurpassed services. These include:


  • Full Truck Load (FTL)
    : For shipment requiring a dedicated whole truckload.
  • Less than truckload (LTL): For companies moving multiple LTL shipments to different locations or consolidating LTL goods from other companies to get a lower all-in rate.
  • Refrigerated Trucking or “Reefer” Transportation: Leveraged to avoid spoilage and damage to temperature-sensitive goods.
  • Cross Docking: With locations in Shelby, Ohio, Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and Romulus, Michigan, that serve as cross-docks for strategic consolidation, storage, and end-to-end distribution programs.


Request a quote
today to see how Entourage Freight Solutions can help with your freight movement and other supply chain needs.

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The freight and logistics market has been navigating a turbulent spring as trade policy swings, supply chain bottlenecks, and shifting consumer behavior ripple through every link of the global network. From record layoffs in retail to volatility in Mexican cross-border shipments, the industry is feeling the heat. And port operators, warehouse managers, and transportation carriers alike are having to adapt to rapid changes in container flows, tariff impacts, and regulatory shifts . We have unpacked the critical developments around the freight world, each reflecting the delicate balance between capacity, demand, and regulation that supply chain leaders must navigate. Continue reading to find out more. Tariff Volatility Fuels Cross-Border Freight Swings U.S. shippers face erratic cross-border freight flows from Mexico as tariff uncertainties continue to disrupt their logistics and supply chain planning. According to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, U.S.-bound truck crossings rose 10.2% in January, fell 6.3% in February, spiked 12% in March, and dropped again by 4.5% in April . Averitt’s Edward Habe attributes this volatility to shippers’ attempts to beat tariff deadlines and navigate unpredictable trade announcements. Although a 25% tariff applies only to goods outside USMCA rules of origin, shippers remain cautious. At Eagle Pass, Texas, beer demand drove a 49.2% year-over-year surge in northbound trucks in Q1, and a considerable part of this was because of Constellation Brands’ Modelo shipments. Meanwhile, Otay Mesa’s volume plummeted 34.9% due to tariffs on Chinese and Southeast Asian imports, which impacted Mexican assembly plants. Key crossings like Laredo and El Paso posted modest declines, while Nogales, Arizona, saw a 4.4% gain. Experts have cautioned that cross-border trade will remain turbulent as long as tariffs fluctuate, making forecasting and operational planning challenging. Chassis Providers Mobilize for Import Surge With U.S. ports bracing for an influx of Chinese imports, America’s largest marine chassis providers — TRAC Intermodal, DCLI, and FlexiVan — are pulling tens of thousands of units from storage , inspecting, and repositioning them to key inland hubs like Chicago, Dallas, and Memphis. TRAC’s Val Noel said, “It could be like a tsunami,” as companies aim to avoid service disruptions. TRAC and DCLI are working closely with BNSF and Union Pacific to anticipate container volumes. FlexiVan, exiting Southern California’s Pool of Pools, is focusing on core partner Ocean Network Express and opened a new chassis pool at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Logistics providers say it takes weeks to inspect and repair stored chassis, a process they have accelerated since learning lessons during the pandemic. Private chassis pools and railroad container management have improved since the COVID-19 pandemic, reducing pressure on public chassis pools. However, with a surge expected this summer, providers are racing to ensure sufficient capacity and avoid bottlenecks that plagued past import booms. Forecast Points to Port Volatility Ahead U.S. retailers are anticipating a temporary surge in port activity this summer, driven by the 90-day U.S.-China tariff pause that slashed rates on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%. According to the National Retail Federation’s Global Port Tracker, this pause has prompted a rush to restock, with volumes rebounding in June to an estimated 2.01 million TEUs, despite being down 6.2% year over year . However, April’s peak at 2.21 million TEUs was short-lived, with May volumes projected to drop to 1.91 million TEUs, the lowest since December 2023. Retailers are also front-loading back-to-school and winter holiday orders, creating an unusual overlap of peak seasons. Yet, forecasts for September and October show sharp declines of 21.8% and 19.8%, respectively. With port labor strikes and tariff policy swings in play, importers face a turbulent second half of 2025, highlighting the challenges of managing global supply chains in an unpredictable trade environment. Tariff Whiplash Sparks Supply Chain Disruptions April saw the largest recorded monthly drop in the U.S. trade deficit, driven by a 16% import plunge after a tariff-driven order surge. The numbers highlight a troubling supply chain crunch. Data shows warehouse inventories are bloated while replenishment orders stall, widening the gap between inventory levels and costs to 26.8 points , the third highest on record. With storage fees still climbing, small businesses are particularly squeezed, says Colorado State’s Zachary Rogers. Freight rates on the China-U.S. route spiked 88%, with container spot rates expected to peak in June before easing. Flexport’s Ryan Petersen warns that stacked tariffs (some containers face 70% total duties) add layers of uncertainty. Smaller logistics providers, representing the “middle mile,” are hit hardest as large players hoard capacity. C.H. Robinson and Flexport offer tech solutions that help with tariff simulation, but July’s potential tariff increase continues to add uncertainty. The bottom line is that small and mid-tier firms bear the brunt of tariff swings, threatening their viability in an increasingly volatile trade environment. LTL Market Faces Soft Demand as Tonnage Declines Tonnage fell in May for multiple carriers . According to initial reports from Old Dominion Freight Line, Saia, and XPO, sluggish demand persisted in the market. LTL tonnage per day and shipments for these firms all declined compared to a year ago. However, the severity of the drops varied, with Old Dominion hit the hardest and Saia receding the least among the group. In contrast, ArcBest’s asset-based segment reported a 6% year-over-year increase in total tons per day for the month. That came as daily shipments were up 7% for May, “reflecting success in capturing new core business,” the company said. Saia bucked the trend, growing LTL weight per shipment by 3% year over year in May. Manufacturing woes and the customer makeup of these carriers are affecting their tonnage and weight changes. Experts say LTL carriers are navigating a low-demand environment by focusing on profitable lanes and contractual freight rather than chasing volume with pricing concessions. Tariff-Driven Trade Shifts Threaten West Coast Ports U.S. ports are navigating a shifting trade landscape as importers look to sidestep tariffs on Chinese goods, driving cargo diversification toward Southeast Asia and India. According to Larry Gross of Gross Transportation Consulting, the U.S. West Coast, which handled 57% of Chinese imports in 2024, is expected to lose the most as trade reroutes. Chinese volumes accounted for 65% of West Coast port traffic, while only 27% and 8% went to the East and Gulf coasts , respectively. Southeast Asian imports already account for 32% of 2024 TEUs, offering some relief, but not enough to offset the decline from China. When shippers pivot to India, the East Coast captures 86% of inbound freight, reinforcing its resilience. Additional shifts in supply chains, such as labor-related cargo diversions and closures of the Red Sea and Suez Canal, further complicate port planning. Gross warns that the West Coast faces a “triple-barreled threat” of lower trade volumes, loss of diverted cargo to the East and Gulf coasts, and the erosion of Chinese import dominance. Retail Layoffs Surge 274% Amid Tariffs, Economic Pessimism U.S. retailers cut nearly 76,000 jobs in the first five months of 2025. A 274% surge over the same period in 2024, driven by tariffs, economic pessimism, and shifting consumer spending patterns. According to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, retail ranked second in total job cuts, behind only government losses. May alone saw 11,483 layoffs in retail, up from 7,235 in April , reflecting industrywide struggles. Andrew Challenger, senior vice president at the firm, attributed the trend to tariffs, funding cuts, and economic headwinds that have forced companies to tighten budgets. Major brands like Nike, Walmart, and Procter & Gamble announced significant layoffs in May, with Nike shifting responsibilities within its global tech team, Walmart trimming 1,500 positions in tech and operations, and P&G slashing 7,000 nonmanufacturing jobs, which is about 15% of its workforce. Despite the cuts, overall U.S. employment grew by 139,000 in May, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%. Challenger noted that while some companies continue to hire, they do so cautiously, reflecting a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. Experience Seamless Shipping with Entourage Freight Solutions Entourage Freight Solutions believes in total transparency in the shipping process. That is why we invest in tech solutions that track every shipment extensively, monitor every driver, and extract every bit of efficiency without sacrificing quality. Our state-of-the-art platform utilizes cloud-based GPS tracking to keep you informed, reroutes shipments on the fly to avoid delays, and even responds to real-time market changes to ensure you receive your shipment on time and as soon as possible. Our Services Full Truckload (FTL): When you need a truck all to yourself. Less-Than-Truckload (LTL): Efficient solutions for multi-stop shipments or combining smaller loads to save on costs. Refrigerated Trucking: Keeping your temperature-sensitive products fresh and safe. Cross-Docking: Strategically located facilities in Shelby, Ohio, Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and Romulus, Michigan, for streamlined consolidation, storage, and distribution. Ready to experience a new level of service and control in your freight shipping? Request a quote today to see how Entourage Freight Solutions can help with your freight movement and other supply chain needs.